Guangdong will be surpassed by Jiangsu sooner or later because the southern province's income mainly depends on traditional and low added-value industry and trails in new emerging industries.
Besides the leading group of provinces, more and more regions are expected to join the "RMB1 trillion GDP" and "RMB2 trillion GDP" clubs. Sichuan and Liaoning are expected to join the latter group, joining Zhejiang, Henan and Hebei. The number of provinces and regions with GDP of 1 trillion yuan and above will also increase from 17 to 22.
The expansion of this group reflects the rapid growth in China's less-developed central and western provinces. All of the newcomers have seen GDP growth of 12% this year.
Sheng Yi, vice director of the Sichuan Social Science Academy, told the newspaper that the central and western provinces still have space to grow compared with the decline in growth seen in the country's more developed coastal provinces, which have already reached a certain level of expansion.
"As long as the economy reaches a certain scale, we may have more capability to shift or combine industries, as well as integrating local resources," Sheng was quoted by the First Financial Daily as saying.
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